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Markets

Will NNPC petrol exceed ₦1,000 per litre before the end of 2026?
50%
chance
YesNo
₦0 Vol.28 Dec

Where is the CBN Monetary Policy Rate on 31 December 2026?
- Lower than today33%Yes33%
- Unchanged33%Yes33%
₦0 Vol.+1 more30 Dec

Will USD/NGN close below ₦1,400 on the last trading day of 2026?
50%
chance
YesNo
₦0 Vol.28 Dec

Will petrol drop below ₦800/litre in 2026?
50%
chance
YesNo
₦0 Vol.1 Jan

Will the naira hit ₦2,000/$ at any point in 2026?
50%
chance
YesNo
₦0 Vol.1 Jan

Will Nigeria’s GDP growth exceed 4% in 2026?
50%
chance
YesNo
₦0 Vol.1 Jan

Will Dangote Refinery reach full capacity in 2026?
50%
chance
YesNo
₦0 Vol.1 Jan

Will the CBN policy rate exceed 30% in 2026?
50%
chance
YesNo
₦0 Vol.1 Jan

Will NNPC fully remove the fuel subsidy in 2026?
50%
chance
YesNo
₦0 Vol.1 Jan

Where does USD/NGN end the year?
- Below ₦1,30025%Yes25%
- ₦1,300–1,60025%Yes25%
₦0 Vol.+2 more1 Jan

Will Nigeria’s inflation fall below 25% by year-end?
50%
chance
YesNo
₦0 Vol.1 Jan
Resolved

Will petrol drop below ₦800/litre in 2026?
30%
chance
YesNo
₦204.7 Vol.Voided

Will the naira hit ₦2,000/$ at any point in 2026?
35%
chance
YesNo
₦98.5 Vol.Voided

Will Nigeria’s GDP growth exceed 4% in 2026?
39%
chance
YesNo
₦354.8 Vol.Voided

Will Dangote Refinery reach full capacity in 2026?
50%
chance
YesNo
₦228 Vol.Voided

Will the CBN policy rate exceed 30% in 2026?
35%
chance
YesNo
₦110.7 Vol.Voided

Will NNPC fully remove the fuel subsidy in 2026?
55%
chance
YesNo
₦84.5 Vol.Voided

Where does USD/NGN end the year?
- Below ₦1,30020%Yes20%
- ₦1,300–1,60040%Yes40%
₦251.7 Vol.+2 moreVoided

Will Nigeria’s inflation fall below 25% by year-end?
40%
chance
YesNo
₦140.5 Vol.Voided

Will fuel exceed ₦1,000/litre at NNPC before July ends?
42%
chance
YesNo
₦106 Vol.Voided

Will the CBN cut the MPR at its next meeting?
- Cut35%Yes35%
- Hold54%Yes54%
₦412.6 Vol.+1 moreVoided

Will USD/NGN close below ₦1,400 this month?
30%
chance
YesNo
₦157.6 Vol.Voided