2027Updated 11 Oct 2026, 1:42 PM WAT

Nigeria decides, 2027

To the Presidential & National Assembly vote · 16 Jan 2027

44% chance Bola Tinubu (APC)
wins in the first round

Who will INEC declare winner of the 16 January 2027 presidential first round?

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₦0 vol · closes 15 Jan 2027

Presidential24 Senate33 House of Reps29 Governorship42 State Assembly22

Presidential races 24 markets

Presidential24 Senate33 House of Reps29 Governorship42 State Assembly22

Who will poll more votes in the 2027 presidential election: Atiku or Obi?Nationwide50%Too close to call₦0
In how many of the 36 states and the FCT will Tinubu score at least 25%?Nationwide25%Too close to call₦0
How many of the 36 states and the FCT will Peter Obi win on 16 January 2027?Nationwide28%10 to 12₦0
What share of the national presidential vote will Tinubu win on 16 January 2027?Nationwide25%35% to under 40%₦0
What share of the national presidential vote will Atiku win on 16 January 2027?Nationwide30%20% to under 25%₦0
What share of the national presidential vote will Peter Obi win on 16 January 2027?Nationwide25%25% to under 30%₦0
What share of the national presidential vote will Seyi Makinde (APM) win?Nationwide38%2% to under 5%₦0
What will turnout be in the 16 January 2027 presidential election?Nationwide38%25% to under 30%₦0
Who will win the presidential vote in Benue State on 16 January 2027?Benue38% APCBola Tinubu (APC)₦0
In how many South-East states will Tinubu score at least 25% of the vote?Nationwide30%None₦0
Who will win the presidential vote in Kaduna State on 16 January 2027?Kaduna40% ADCAtiku Abubakar (ADC)₦0
Will Nyesom Wike announce his resignation as FCT minister by 31 January 2027?Nationwide20% Yes—₦0
Who will win the presidential vote in Plateau State on 16 January 2027?Plateau40%Too close to call₦0
Who will INEC declare winner of the 16 January 2027 presidential first round?Nationwide44% APCBola Tinubu (APC)₦0
Will Tinubu take part in a live televised presidential debate before 16 January 2027?Nationwide18% Yes—₦0
Who will win the presidential vote in Bauchi State on 16 January 2027?Bauchi38% APCBola Tinubu (APC)₦0
Who will win the presidential vote in Adamawa State on 16 January 2027?Adamawa55% ADCAtiku Abubakar (ADC)₦0
Who will win the presidential vote in Kano State on 16 January 2027?Kano45% NDCPeter Obi (NDC)₦0
Who will win the presidential vote in the FCT (Abuja) on 16 January 2027?FCT50% NDCPeter Obi (NDC)₦0
Who will win the presidential vote in Cross River State on 16 January 2027?Cross River50% APCBola Tinubu (APC)₦0
Who will win the presidential vote in Delta State on 16 January 2027?Delta45%Too close to call₦0
Who will win the presidential vote in Lagos State on 16 January 2027?Lagos58% APCBola Tinubu (APC)₦0
Who will win the presidential vote in Rivers State on 16 January 2027?Rivers74% APCBola Tinubu (APC)₦0
Who will win the presidential vote in Oyo State on 16 January 2027?Oyo52% APCBola Tinubu (APC)₦0

44% chance Bola Tinubu (APC)wins in the first round

Presidential races 24 markets

44% chance Bola Tinubu (APC)
wins in the first round