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How many of the 36 states and the FCT will Peter Obi win on 16 January 2027?

  • 10 to 12 28%

  • 6 to 9 25%

  • 13 to 15 20%

  • 16 or more 15%

₦0 Vol.15 Jan 2027
  • 0 to 5
    12%
  • 6 to 9
    25%
  • 10 to 12
    28%
  • 13 to 15
    20%
  • 16 or more
    15%

Counts the 36 states and the FCT where Peter Obi has the most first-round votes; a tie for first counts as a win. Uses INEC's declared first-round result for the 16 January 2027 presidential election (state results, Form EC8D; national return, Form EC8E). Later tribunal or court judgments and any runoff are ignored. A postponed poll follows the rescheduled first round; void if INEC has published no result by 30 June 2027.

Volume
₦0
Scheduled close
15 Jan 2027, 11:59 PM
Market opened
4 Oct 2026
Resolution sourceINEC: the returning officer's declaration and the published result sheets (inecnigeria.org)

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