10 to 12

Counts the 36 states and the FCT where Peter Obi has the most first-round votes; a tie for first counts as a win. Uses INEC's declared first-round result for the 16 January 2027 presidential election (state results, Form EC8D; national return, Form EC8E). Later tribunal or court judgments and any runoff are ignored. A postponed poll follows the rescheduled first round; void if INEC has published no result by 30 June 2027.