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In how many of the 36 states and the FCT will Tinubu score at least 25%?

27 to 29

25% chance
₦0 Vol.
₦0 tradedOne share pays ₦1 if 27 to 29 wins

Counts the 36 states and the FCT where Bola Tinubu's first-round votes are at least 25.00% of that unit's total valid votes. Uses INEC's declared first-round result for the 16 January 2027 presidential election (state results, Form EC8D; national return, Form EC8E). Later tribunal or court judgments and any runoff are ignored. A postponed poll follows the rescheduled first round; void if INEC has published no result by 30 June 2027.

Volume
₦0
Scheduled close
15 Jan 2027, 11:59 PM
Market opened
4 Oct 2026
Resolution sourceINEC: the returning officer's declaration and the published result sheets (inecnigeria.org)

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