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Who will INEC declare winner of the 16 January 2027 presidential first round?

No first-round winner (runoff)

27% chance
₦0 Vol.
₦0 tradedOne share pays ₦1 if No first-round winner (runoff) wins

Resolves to the candidate INEC declares elected President after the first-round ballot of the 16 January 2027 election (the declaration at the National Collation Centre, Form EC8E). If INEC declares that no candidate met s.134(2) of the Constitution (most votes and at least 25% in two-thirds of the 36 states and the FCT) and orders a second election, resolves 'No first-round winner (runoff)'; the runoff itself is irrelevant. A named outcome means that person; anyone else declared elected resolves 'Another candidate'. Later tribunal or court judgments are ignored. A postponed poll follows the rescheduled first round; void if INEC has made no declaration by 30 June 2027.

Volume
₦0
Scheduled close
15 Jan 2027, 11:59 PM
Market opened
4 Oct 2026
Resolution sourceINEC: the returning officer's declaration and the published result sheets (inecnigeria.org)

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